The gap is
the whole product.
We price the game before we ever look at the line, then de-vig the market and put the two numbers side by side. Everything Sports Leans does happens in the space between them — written up and sourced.
Live data, win probabilities, an upset read, and a cited analyst breakdown on every matchup.
Build the number
Form, the tape, expected goals, styles, layoffs — turned into a true probability from the evidence. The betting line is never an input.
De-vig the market
Strip the bookmaker's margin out of the price to recover what the market actually believes — clean and comparable to our number.
Read the divergence
Our probability beside the market's. Where they part ways, that delta is the edge — written up with every source cited. When the gap is zero, we say so: the discipline to pass is the whole point.
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